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Detroit Lions Draft Review

Today, I’ll be doing a comprehensive review of the Lions 2013 draft, including how I see the players fitting into the Lions roster and some overarching trends of the draft class.

Round 1, Pick 5, Ezekiel Ansah DE – BYU

At 6’5″, 271 lbs, he has the power, speed, size, and length you want in a defensive end. He’s explosive and quick and no one doubts his athletic ability. His problem is that he’s raw. He didn’t start playing football in any capacity until 2010. He can certainly be described as “boom or bust” and Mike Mayock of NFL Network was quoted as saying, “In 3 years he’s either all pro or on the street.” How comforting. Still, he seems to have good instincts as far as reading reverses and screens and finding the ball. His technique just needs work.

My first reaction was to hate this pick because of how raw he is. The Lions need help at defensive end immediately with the losses of Kyle Vanden Bosch and Cliff Avril. With the 5th overall pick, you’re not supposed to gamble. However, as I heard more about him and saw the draft come together as a whole, I began to like it more and more. Physically, he’s got everything you could want from a defensive end. His tremendous size and athleticism combo is rare in a prospect. If you were to add tremendous technique, you’d have Jadeveon Clowney (already crowned the 1st overall pick next year) and he’d be long gone by the #5 pick. In addition, the Lions coached him at the Senior Bowl and he dominated that game playing the wide 9 technique employed by the Lions, so they should have an idea of how well he takes coaching. The front office is comfortable that he could offer enough right now to start at DE and will only get better. The addition of Jim Washburn to the Lions’ coaching staff as a 2nd defensive line coach gives them plenty of coaching resources to devote to improving a guy like this. And the only guys in the draft that were demonstrably better than Ansah were Joeckel and Fisher and they were the top 2 picks. A lot of people thought the Lions should go with a cornerback or guard in this spot, but as it turns out, the Lions picked up starters that those spots later in the draft. Sure, it was a disappointment not to get an offensive tackle, seeing as how that was the strength of this draft, but with the #5 overall pick, you shouldn’t be taking the 4th best offensive tackle, and there were probably only 3 tackles in the draft better than Riley Reiff anyway.

As for fit, this pick is ideal. Ansah’s athleticism and the wide 9 are perfect for each other. He’ll be asked to do little else but rush the passer, which will help shorten his learning curve, and the wide alignment will give him space to use his athleticism to wreak havoc. And after it’s all said and done, he can’t possibly be worse than KVB and Avril were this past year. They graded out as a combined -42.8. If they were to be replaced with simply average players, the Lions overall defense would have gone from ranking 26th to 17th in PFF score.

2nd Round, Pick 4, Darius Slay CB – Mississippi State

Darius Slay is the cornerback Martin Mayhew has been looking for. For a corner, he’s got good size, at 6’0″, 192 lbs and great speed (he was timed at 4.36 seconds in his 40 yard dash at the combine). He can play on the outside and match up against the bigger receivers the Lions will face. He’s better in coverage than in run support, which will probably keep him from playing a significant amount in the slot.

Leading up to the draft, I didn’t believe that CB was as big a need as some like Mel Kiper made it out to be. This offseason, the Lions re-signed their #1 cornerback in Chris Houston, which stabilizes that position for a number of years. Additionally, last year’s draft provided the Lions with 3 cornerbacks, two of which showed enough last year to think that they’ll be a part of the Lions plans going forward. The Lions also signed Ron Bartell, a former 2nd round pick, last year. He also provides the size and speed Mayhew is looking for (he was 6’1″, 211 lbs at the 2005 NFL combine and ran a 4.37 forty). That said, I really like this pick. Slay provides a combination of size and speed that the other young guys can’t match. He can step in and immediately compete for the starting spot opposite Houston and probably win the job. And while the Lions had 4 solid guys coming into the draft, NFL offenses are tending towards more 3 and 4 WR sets with size and speed across the board. Depth at cornerback is key both in terms of matchups and injury fill-ins. And none of those guys are really proven aside from Houston, so a guy that can start on the other side was a must. To fill that #2 corner role without having to use your 1st round pick on a guy like Milliner means they got a good value here.

3rd Round, Pick 3, Larry Warford OG – Kentucky

Lary Warford is a big dude. He’s a mauler and a very good in-line blocker. He can both pass protect and run block and has nimble feet. In some of the scouting reports I’ve read, he’s been described as a good athlete, though his ability to move over large distances has been questioned.

Again, I really like this pick for the Lions. Many projected him to go in the 2nd round, so this presents good value. He’ll step in and start day 1 and I feel comfortable that he’ll be very good at protecting Stafford and opening up running lanes between the tackles. My one hesitation is in how he fits into the Lions’ scheme. Not being able to move well could cause him trouble with pulling and in the screen game. However, these concerns are fairly minor and should be something he’ll get better at as he improves his fitness with an NFL strength and conditioning coach. He replaces Stephen Peterman, who was mediocre, at best, last year. He should improve both the pass protection and inside running game immediately and the Lions rarely used Peterman as a pulling guard, so I don’t expect Warford to limit the offense at all. Surefire starter in the 3rd round? I’ll take it.

4th Round, Pick 35, Devin Taylor DE – South Carolina

If you read my Denard Robinson piece, you’ve already heard a little bit about Devin Taylor. He’s 6’7″, 266 lbs, and an incredible athlete with freakishly long arms. His combine numbers rivaled those of Ziggy Ansah. On the flip side, he wasn’t very productive across from the best pass rusher in college football and struggles with technique. His pad level can get high and he struggles to effectively use his length. Still, you can coach technique, and his potential is huge.

I love this pick for the Lions. He falls very much in line with their former 4th round picks in Sammie Lee Hill and Jason Fox. He’s a guy you bring in as depth and develop him over time. And you get a guy with great athleticism with 3 years of starting experience in the SEC in the late 4th round. I think he can step in this year as a rotational DE in a similar capacity to Lawrence Jackson and Willie Young last year and hopefully eventually develop into a starter. This offseason, the Lions lost 3 defensive ends in KVB, Avril, and LoJack, so with Jason Jones and Ansah, Taylor should round out the rotation.

5th Round, Pick 32, Sam Martin P – Appalachian State

People that bash teams for drafting punters are stupid. Here is a list of the Lions’ 5th round draft picks from the last 10 years: Terrence Holt, James Davis, Alex Lewis, Dan Orlovsky, Jonathan Scott, Johnny Baldwin, Kenneth Moore, Jerome Felton, Doug Hogue, Tahir Whitehead, and Chris Greenwood. That list is riddled with guys that were backups, failures, or fringe starters for other teams. Here’s another list: Dave Zastudil, Bryan Anger, Reggie Hodges, Donnie Jones, Dustin Colquitt, Sam Koch, Shane Lechler, Adam Podlesh, Mike Scifres, Kevin Huber, Brad Nortman, Thomas Morstead, Brandon Fields, Pat McAfee, Andy Lee, Matt Bosher, and Zoltan Mesko. These are punters that were drafted that played in all 16 of their respective teams’ games last year. So tell me this, would you rather have a guy that might fill the last spot on your roster and not make an impact on games for at least 2 years, if ever, or would you rather have a guaranteed starter that could be on your teams 20 years from now?

Sam Martin is a punter. He was apparently one of the top 2 punters on the Lions board. He’s got a big leg and can kick off. I don’t know if there’s a whole lot else you can say about punters, or at least nothing that I can speak intelligently about. He’s fairly new to punting, as he played soccer all throughout high school, tried out kicking his senior year and got scholarship offers. He’s done both kicking and punting in college and improved significantly his senior year after beginning to work with a kicking specialist to improve his technique. Because of this, he still has potential to improve. Many of you will question taking this particular guy because he wasn’t #1 or #2 on most people’s lists. But how many of those people actually scouted punters? If we’re talking RBs or QBs or pretty much any other position, the rankings might hold some value, but with punters, I think one guy looks at the big schools and sees who has the good punters and ranks them and then everyone else copies. I trust that the Lions have done their due diligence here more so than I trust a guy who reluctantly made a list of draftable punters. I mean, the guy averaged 45.9 yards per punt last year

Contrary to most, this is my favorite pick that the Lions made. You get an immediate starter at the end of the 5th round at a position where he can step in and his skills should translate directly to the NFL (Either way, you’re just going out there to kick the ball down the field). Additionally, punting was perhaps the Lions biggest weakness last year. It directly cost them 2 games and certainly lost them the field position battle (a way underrated aspect of football) in the majority of the others. It’s easy to see how high picks can be given starting spots right away and make an impact on games as long as you get talented guys that line up with needs, but it takes a little creativity to get a starter at the end of the 5th round.

6th Round, Pick 3, Corey Fuller WR – Virginia Tech

Corey Fuller is 6’2″ tall and weighs 204 lbs. He ran track for 2 years at Kentucky before transferring to VT to play football. Those physical attributes alone make him worth a 6th round pick. He’s tall, fast, makes explosive cuts and has shown the ability to catch the ball. The problem with Fuller is his inexperience. After running track for 2 years and backing up for a year, he only started one year. This shows up with inconsistency in running routes and securing the football. The other issue is that he looks rail thin, even for a wide receiver, and he must prove that he can handle press coverage.

I think this pick is great value for the Lions. The biggest thing the Lions were looking for in a wide receiver this offseason was the ability to force teams to put a safety over the top opposite CJ. It’s the reason they tried to sign Darrius Heyward-Bey. They want a guy with pure straight line speed to keep defenses honest. While Fuller doesn’t have quite the elite pure speed of DHB, he is certainly very fast and can play that role for the Lions. His inexperience will keep him from contributing a whole lot more this year, but if he makes the team, don’t be surprised to see him on the opposite side of CJ at some point running 9 routes.

6th Round, Pick 31, Theo Riddick RB – Notre Dame

Theo Riddick is a 3rd down back type. He’s good at running routes and catching passes, but lacks the athleticism to do a whole lot more. He played some wide receiver, so he can also line up in the slot.

If he makes the team, he’ll be an injury backup to Reggie Bush and can fill an important void in that respect. He won’t be nearly as fast or explosive, but can play a significant role in the passing game. He lacks upside, but his versatility will be intriguing to the Lions. I like that the Lions tend to draft more towards need in the later rounds. It allows you to target a spot on your roster that a guy can possibly slip in to. If you’re drafting a 7th string WR just because he’s the best on the board doesn’t give him a very good chance at making the roster. But if you’re looking for a guy to fill a role, you might as well draft someone that fits the profile and let him battle for that spot in camp. Maybe he’ll win the job or maybe you’ll find an undrafted free agent or veteran guy that fills the role better, but at the very least, you get a better shot at production out of him.

7th Round, Pick 5, Michael Williams TE – Alabama

Michael Williams is a 6’5″, 278 pound tight end with offensive lineman speed (5.16 second 40 yard dash at his pro day). Certainly he won’t be the type to stretch the field, but he can probably be about as productive as Will Heller in the passing game, catching short and intermediate stuff to catch the defense napping. His real value comes from his blocking, where he was one of the best blocking tight ends in the draft. He’s essentially a lean offensive tackle that can catch.

I actually don’t see any way that he doesn’t make the Lions team with a good chance of being active week in and week out. He’ll immediately step in to Will Heller’s 3rd tight end role and also fill the role that Riley Reiff played last year, coming in as a 6th o-lineman on some plays. He’s not an all-around tight end that has grown in popularity in recent years and likely never will be, but he’ll stick on NFL rosters for a while because of what he can do.

7th Round, Pick 39, Brandon Hepburn ILB – Florida A&M

Brandon Hepburn is a small school guy who is a good athlete, but a better student. He carried a full academic load in biochemistry and walked on to the FAMU football team. He put up respectable numbers at the combine and should be a solid developmental guy. He has trouble working between the tackles and finding his way through the garbage at the line, so he’ll need some work before he’s ready to contribute, but his physical tools shouldn’t hold him back.

For one of the last picks in the draft, this seems like pretty good value. He’ll start out on the practice squad or one of the last spots on the roster and develop for a few years similar to Ashlee Palmer has done. It’s hard not to like Hepburn because he’s got high hopes outside of football and seems like a very intelligent guy. This could be the first time in his life he’s focused solely on football, and carrying a full academic load while playing football isn’t easy, so you know he’s not afraid of working hard. And he was literally the only linebacker that smiled in his NFL combine photo, so I like him already. Hopefully, he can make his stamp on special teams and develop into a guy that can contribute. The Lions are a little thin a linebacker, so it’s not hard to imagine that he could fill out the depth there.

Draft Class Trends

Immediate Impact

It’s easy to see how this draft class fits into the roster and makes an immediate impact. There are 4 day 1 starters in Ansah, Slay, Warford, and Martin. Aside from them, Devin Taylor, Corey Fuller, and Michael Williams should have a rotational role from the start. Theo Riddick and Brandon Hepburn both have a shot to stick with the team and develop in time. The Lions seemed to have a very clear idea to fill their needs coming in to this draft and managed to do it while getting good value throughout the draft.

Physical Tools

Ziggy Ansah and Devin Taylor were both among the top combine performers at their position and offer prototypical height and weight. Darius Slay offers both height and speed to cover big, fast receivers on the outside. Larry Warford is a massive guy, and Corey Fuller is a track athlete with great straight line speed. Martin Mayhew has said in his press conferences that one of the Lions’ objectives was to get bigger and faster. Mission accomplished. The change will be especially noticeable at DE, where the top 4 guys on the roster are all huge and athletic. Add in a number of corners that are 6 foot plus with speed and you have yourself a scary defense.

Upside

This goes hand in hand with the physical tools. Ansah, Taylor, and Fuller all have prototypical height and speed, but need work on technique. Sam Martin is still relatively new to punting and has room to improve. And for a 7th round pick, Hepburn has all the physical attributes you’d expect from a linebacker. The only things holding him back are mental and technical. The Lions are putting the onus on the coaching staff here. Teach these athletes to play football and you’ll get production. If not, this team could easily sink back into a losing record and the coaching staff will be different a year from now.

Why the Lions were right to pass on Denard Robinson

As many of you may know, Denard Robinson is the former QB (then RB and WR) of the Michigan Wolverines. Leading up to the draft (and throughout), many Lions fans shouted from the rooftops for the Lions to grab him in the 2nd…then the 3rd…then the 4th…and 5th. Turns out the Lions juuuuust missed him, as the Jaguars selected him 2 spots before the Lions picked in the 5th round. After the conclusion of the draft, NFL Network reporter Ian Rapoport revealed that the Lions would have taken Denard had he still been there.

However, Justin Rogers of Mlive.com later debunked that rumor upon speaking with Martin Mayhew.

Still, this report added fuel to the debate  over whether the Lions should have drafted him or not, given that they chose DE Devin Taylor just 3 spots before Robinson’s selection. A certain well-known Detroit-area troll indicated that this was the biggest disappointment of the Lions’ draft. I don’t think this is even an issue for discussion if Denard Robinson wasn’t from the University of Michigan. As a New Jersey native living in the Washington D. C. area, I have no ties the University of Michigan and don’t really even watch a whole lot of college football. I suppose I understand the homerism. I would love the Lions to snag a Rutgers kid (I was campaigning hard for Ray Rice back in the day) or a Maryland player (I’m sure you guys would all love to have Vernon Davis or Torrey Smith, and watch out for Stefon Diggs in a couple years). I, for one, am incredibly happy the Lions did not draft Robinson and would like to convince you that this is for the best.

First of all, what makes Denard Robinson and intriguing prospect? In a word, athleticism. Denard is an impressive athlete with tremendous college production and when in space, he can make explosive plays. But that’s the problem. You need to get him in space first. Playing most of his career as a quarterback (which he isn’t capable of doing as a pro), he didn’t see many snaps at RB or WR. As a running back prospect, Denard lacks the size to be an every-down contributor and is almost completely unproven in that role at the collegiate level. While his frame is well suited to make him a slot wide receiver, reports from the Senior Bowl indicate that he had significant trouble running routes, catching the ball, even lining up in the right spot. These struggles will also hurt his value as a RB because pass catching is a necessary skill for a third down back. As a kick returner, he is completely raw, only fielding kicks and punts starting this offseason (and dropping many of them). Ziggy Ansah looks like a polished pro next to this guy.

100910_UM V MSU FBC ROUNDTREE 2 LON

And then you can talk about where he would have to be selected. For the Lions to pick Robinson, they would have had to pass up Devin Taylor. Devin Taylor is a 6’7″, 266 lb defensive end with 36″ long arms (that’s freakishly long). At the combine, among defensive linemen, he ran the 8th fastest 40, had the 5th best vertical jump, best broad jump, 2nd best 3 cone drill, and 2nd best 20 yard shuttle. He is an athletic, physical freak, almost rivaling Ziggy Ansah in his athleticism. He has an ideal frame for the position and a high motor. And he has 4 years of collegiate experience in the SEC at that position. Devin Taylor can step in and contribute to the defensive line rotation immediately and develop into a starter in a short period of time. He doesn’t need to be taught the basic requirements of the position.

devin

My point here is that while Denard Robinson is an awesome athlete, so are a lot of guys coming out of college football. But most of those other guys have a position. Picking a guy without a position in the hope that he learns to do any one of a number of things well is a luxury that the Lions don’t have. And certainly, there is better value to be found in the late 4th, where the Lions continued to select starters and guys with a specific and significant rotational role. Denard is a purely developmental prospect at this point and worth more to a team that can let him sit and develop than a team like the Lions trying to get back on track.

Is Ziggy the Ansah?

Welcome to the most predictable headline you could possibly imagine. I know it’s corny. That’s why I love it. I would go with Gettin’ Ziggy with It, but I think I saw it was a newspaper headline already. I have a strange fascination with name pun headlines. Just go ahead and ignore me.

Aaaaaanyway. By now, you probably know that the Lions took Ziggy Ansah with the #5 overall pick last night. If you’re not familiar with him, here’s a quick rundown on him. Immediately, Lions fans took to the internet to complain or celebrate (or some mixture of the two). He’s an intriguing prospect. You can’t help but be excited by his incredible size, speed, and athletic ability, and you can’t help but be terrified by his inexperience. My immediate reaction was to hate the pick. I knew I would hate it. I always hate it. In a few days, we’ll see if I come around to it. Any other major sports media source can give you the same old pros and cons list about why it is or is not a good pick, so I won’t repeat those here. I know you come here for the hard-hitting journalism (and sweet headlines). So without further ado, here’s my alternative reasoning for why it is or is not a good pick.

Why I like him

  1. I used to have a cat named Ziggy. Although that was short for Zigfried I think and not Ezekiel.
  2. My favorite cartoon as a child was Ziggy.

    ziggy

    At least it’s not as bad as Cathy

  3. My friend Martin is from Ghana.
  4. Kyle Vanden Bosch is gone.
  5. His 3D glasses are a pretty awesome satirical statement about recent draft pick fashion trends if that’s what he was going for.

    Ahem, Nick Fairley

  6. The Lions didn’t trade up.
  7. Awesome punny headline possibilities, obviously.

Why I don’t like him

  1. The 3D glasses, while awesome, didn’t actually look all that good.
  2. Matt Millen (I don’t know how he factors into this, but I feel like this is relevant)
  3. His lack of an arrest record means he will have a hard time fitting in with the team.
  4. Matt Millen.

In all seriousness, this reasoning is as good as any other that we can give as fans. The vast majority of Lions fans have never seen him play (not counting Youtube), seen him practice, coached him, scouted him, or talked with him. The Detroit Lions have done their homework. They coached him at the Senior Bowl. They have coaches that know far more about football than I could ever hope to. And even then, they don’t know if it is a good pick or not. That hasn’t been decided yet. I think we can all agree that he’s a very good scheme fit and has no physical limitations. The only question is whether or not he will live up to his potential. That’s why it’s called a “boom or bust” pick. So all we can do is guess which it is and wait and see. So in that spirit, here’s a poll for how you grade the pick.

A Day in the Mind of Martin Mayhew

I’ll be the first to admit this isn’t the most prominent blog on the internet. That means that if you’re reading this, you’re obsessed with the NFL draft. You scour the internet for every piece of opinion and info you can find, you read every mock by every pundit imaginable, and then scrape the bottom of the barrel and ask for more. And then you stumble onto my blog. I used to be like you. There are parts of me that very much still are. Whether it’s in season or not, I read more about the Detroit Lions than just about any other topic. Send me a link to a good article on twitter and chances are that I’ll read it (or I already have). But I am far less obsessive over the draft than I used to be. Perhaps that’s because the last few games of the regular season are now all about the race for the playoffs and not the race for the #1 overall pick. Perhaps it’s because I’m older and wiser than I used to be. Anyway, I used to be different.

April 2006. I say that year and it sounds like it was yesterday. But by now it’s 7 years ago. That year’s draft came a month before my high school graduation and by now I’ve slogged through the majority of grad school. That draft came 3 months after the hiring of Rod Marinelli. I remember the optimism I had back then. Marinelli showed up to his press conference with a sharp suit and a mantra of pounding the rock. He was a stark contrast to Mooch, the guy who played favorites, lost games, and looked every bit of the TV personality he has since become. Rod Marinelli looked like a football coach. He looked like the man to lead us back to prominence (did I say back? I don’t think we were ever actually there). So I channeled my optimism into the draft. I was in between high school and college. What else was there to do? I remember planning each draft pick, filling each of the Lions’ holes, one by one. I mapped out free agency too. I was big on Simeon Rice as a free agent, and in the draft, it was Michael Huff or bust. I remember just a few days before the draft, everyone started raving about Ernie Sims. He was like a guided missile. You could watch his college highlight reel all day long. As he moved up draft boards, people wondered if he could go as high as 15. I was devastated when the Raiders took Huff, but Sims was my 2nd choice and the Lions nabbed him at #9…

I would be a horrible GM. None of these players have produced a whole lot since 2006. I can look back now and laugh about them, but my picks would have been horrible. And that’s why mock drafts don’t mean anything. It’s because these picks aren’t made by guys that get their info third hand (well, maybe in 2006, a certain Lions GM probably did). Trust me, you really shouldn’t care what my draft picks would be. If you really want to know who the Lions will pick, you should think about…who the Lions will pick. By saying that, I didn’t actually tell you anything, but think about it. Do I care if Mel Kiper thinks the Lions still need a corner? Do I care if some analyst says that good teams are built from the trenches out without any proof? You should concern yourself with the Lions drafting philosophy, offensive and defensive schemes, and take a look at team needs from a long-term perspective.

If you’re a fan of this blog, you might remember that I took a more in-depth look at the Lions draft philosophy last year. The Lions draft the best guy available, without regard for short-term injuries or minor character issues. Given the state of some of the Lions’ recent draft picks (looking at you, Jahvid Best and Titus Young), you can begin to wonder whether the Lions might get a little gun-shy on this aspect of their philosophy.

You can look at their past drafts and see how they deal with need. Did they need an offensive tackle last year when they picked Riley Reiff? Not with Backus and Cherilus holding down both ends. Did they need a defensive tackle when they took Nick Fairley in 2011? Not with Suh, Corey Williams, and Sammie Lee Hill on board. Are they relying on those guys to step in and fill big roles this year? Absolutely. The draft isn’t just a short-term, one year thing. The Lions draft guys at positions that might not be a need right away and look for them to step up in the years to come.

You can look at the Lions’ schemes and see that they value guys that can rush the passer and explosive offensive weapons. They’ve already invested 2 first round picks in pass rushing defensive tackles. Last year, they spent $10.6 million to franchise Cliff Avril. On offense, they’ve sunk high picks into Stafford, Pettigrew, Best, Young, and Leshoure, signed Calvin Johnson to the biggest WR contract ever, and signed Reggie Bush to exploit the space created by CJ.

So with all of this in mind, you start to get a picture of what the Lions might do with the 5th overall pick. But do you know who the Lions will pick at #5? No. Because you don’t know who the first 4 guys will be. With that in mind, I’m going to make a big board, albeit as a guy that only reads 3rd hand accounts of the strengths and weaknesses of draft prospects. With some of these guys, I’d love to see them in a Lions uniform. With some of them, I’d be mortified. Without further ado, here’s my best approximation of Martin Mayhew’s big board.

#1 – Eric Fisher – LT

Since the Senior Bowl, there has been much ink dedicated to discussing whether Eric Fisher or Luke Joeckel is a better prospect. A lot of people have Luke Joeckel as the best player in the draft, and maybe he is. But from the Lions’ perspective, I think Eric Fisher fits what the Lions do better. These guys are both great pass blockers, but Eric Fisher has better athleticism and foot speed, which allows him to get to get to the 2nd level more easily when run blocking. The Lions offense utilizes a lot of screens, traps, draws, and misdirection-type plays. They’re putting a renewed emphasis on getting big plays this year. So it would make sense that they’ll need guys who can get downfield and block linebackers and safeties. This offseason, they brought in Curtis Modkins from the Buffalo Bills as their running backs coach and run game coordinator. Buffalo Rumblings (SB Nation Buffalo Bills blog) had a nice breakdown of the Bills running game under Modkins. Essentially, they try to take advantage of the space created by their passing game to use a lot of zone blocking and misdirection plays that require their linemen to get out and move. Sound familiar?

#2 – Luke Joeckel – LT

Let’s be honest. Putting Eric Fisher 1st was nitpicky. These guys are both great. I would say that they’re 1A and 1B, but I really hate it when people say that because B comes after A and is therefore just a nicer and dumber way of saying 2. Luke Joeckel is a prototypical left tackle and a better pass blocker than Fisher. Considering the Lions pass 90% of the time (I didn’t look this stat up, but I’m 90% sure it’s true), they could use a guy that will keep Stafford from separating his shoulder for the rest of his career. If either of these guys is still there at #5, the Lions will be glad they sacrificed Titus Young and Jahvid Best to the draft gods for their consideration.

#3 – Tavon Austin – WR

Whaaaaaaaaaat?!?! Yep, I went there. I tried to put other guys in this spot. I really did. I wrote down 3 other names before I settled on Austin. Get this straight. The Lions are not afraid to draft a wide receiver. If he is the best guy on their board, he’ll be the pick, without a doubt. I’ve been reading scouting reports on these guys for days, weeks. The one that keeps getting me excited is Tavon Austin because he’s a perfect fit for what the Lions like to do. He has elite speed (4.34 official 40 time), but also elite quickness. He can be guys over the top or absolutely eviscerate defenses when he gets in space. He’s small, so he’s not going to be a guy that you throw jump balls to. But why would you even bother with that when you have CJ on the other side. The biggest thing missing from the Lions last year were impact offensive weapons outside of CJ and impact plays on defense. Imagine Tavon Austin alongside Reggie Bush and Ryan Broyles. That’s almost scarier than having to deal with CJ. Almost. I’d have to think that no matter what happens with the offensive line or running game, this would put the offense over the top.

#4 – Sharrif Floyd – DT

I know. This one hurts. This is not a pick that I would like to see. I told you that this is not a mock draft of what I would do, but what I believe Mayhew would do. I’m being serious with this. The guys that I considered here all have big question marks when it comes to their fit within the Lions scheme, their level of polish (like the stuff you put on shoes or furniture, not people from Poland. Although, there are a severe lack of Polish people in this draft), or their value at #5. Sharrif Floyd is a high-motor, disruptive pass-rushing defensive tackle best suited to play the 3 technique in a 4-3 defense. Sound familiar? That’s because it’s the exact same profile that fits both Ndamukong Suh ( I still have to look up how to spell this) and Nick Fairley. There’s no doubting that Floyd fits what the Lions look for in a tackle. There’s also no doubting that the position is currently filled. But that’s not to say that there will never again be a vacancy at DT. Justin Rogers at Mlive.com broke down the contract situation the Lions and Suh are now facing heading into 2014 and 2015. The Lions owe Suh $21.41 million dollars in 2014 if he doesn’t sign a restructured extension. If they want to franchise him in 2015, it would cost $25.7 million. That’s an obscene amount of money. The Lions salary cap troubles in recent years have brought the issue to the forefront that most of the Lions’ cap money is tied up in Stafford, CJ, and Suh. I hate to say it, but only one of those players has a penchant for stomping players on national television. Sharrif Floyd would be able to step into the rotation immediately, just as Nick Fairley did in 2011 and be able to take the reigns in 2015. This would not be a popular pick, especially with me, but I don’t think the Lions would be afraid to do it.

#5 – Dion Jordan – LB/DE

Another unpopular pick, I know. He’s simply not a 4-3 DE at this point. He stands at 6’6″ and weighs 248 lbs. He’ll need to add 20-30 lbs before he can become an effective 4-3 DE. But here’s the thing. He’s an incredible pass rusher. There’s a reason 3-4 teams are salivating over him. He makes plays. He has incredible athleticism. He can even cover slot receivers. He is a defensive playmaker, first and foremost. Here’s a quote from Martin Mayhew entering this offseason:

“We have a lot of guys, who are good guys, that line up right, they know what their job is, but they don’t impact the game. We need interceptors, guys that can sack the quarterback, we need guys that cause fumbles, that make plays on third down. Those are the kinds of guys that can change the game for us.”

The Lions defense played admirably this year. They held their own, played better than expected, and allowed a lot of points. You look at the Lions defense and it’s easy to say they should have been better against the run or better in coverage, but what they really needed was to get off the field. Dion Jordan is a rare athlete that knows how to get after the QB, functions very well in space, and has about as much upside as anyone in the draft. I’m of the opinion that he’d fare better in the wide 9 than in a traditional 6 or 7 technique. The wide 9 is predicated on getting the pass rushers out in space. They need to be able to beat the tackle to the corner or use their quickness to beat their man with a counter move to the inside. From what I’ve read, these sound like by far the biggest strengths of Dion Jordan’s game. And while he’s spending time gaining weight, you could just go ahead and line him up at slot cornerback.

#6 – The Shocker

When do the Lions ever go by the book? Did you know who Gosder Cherilus was before his name was announced with the 17th pick in the 2008 draft? Did you expect to hear Riley Reiff or Ryan Broyles or Nick Fairley or Titus Young? The Lions are never predictable. One of the 5 names I listed will be available when the Lions come up onto the clock. I fully expect that they’ll pick someone I’ve never heard of, never read about, never wanted on this team. Maybe it’ll be Star Lotulelei or maybe Tyler Eifert. Maybe it’ll be Sheldon Richardson or Jarvis Jones or Barkevious Mingo. Maybe it’ll be Tank Carradine. I know I’ll be watching. I expect I’ll be disappointed. But give me a few days and I’ll come around to the pick. I always do.